New betting services appear on a weekly basis and most of them do not stand the test of time. Indeed, I don’t even bother mentioning them on this blog.

But every so often, up pops a service that gets my attention and I keep track of it over a period of time to see how it performs.

One such service is Sports Betting Dynamics run by Tom Daxton.

Sports Betting Dynamics concentrates on American sports such as NBA basketball and NFL football.  You can read more on their website by clicking here

Although the service is not open until 1st March, I was able to sign up for a free trial that started on 1stFeb (the trial has now closed due to the large number of people who signed up). An email is sent out every day with the recommended bet(s) and stakes. Bookmakers with the best odds are also shown and you should note that not all bets can be placed on Betfair. This is because Betfair does not always provide the whole range of bet types available for American sports.

To date, the trial has produced a profit of just over 33 points.

And you can see the full results for the 2010/11 season by clicking this link I think you’ll agree that they are pretty impressive.

I recommend that this is a service worth looking at. Although the subscription service does not open until 1st March, you should sign up on the website for early notification. The past results and success of the free trial indicates that this service will soon be fully subscribed

Chris

One of my readers has been very, very, very naughty (you know who you are!) and has sent me a copy of the 18 page pdf that you get for your £37. (That’s £2 per page!)

From the promotional website that I showed in the video, you will see that the site says that ‘you will make between £10-£1000 per week’. Quite a boast!

Yet the manual is far more cautious and warns ‘We will not be held responsible in any form of loss, financial or otherwise caused by using details provided in this e book or our website’ as well as ‘the author will not be held responsible for any loss arising from the methods promoted and as such there are no guarantees of any financial gain or avoidance of loss by following this guide’. That is quie a diference from the effusive claims of almost gauranteed winnings each & every week claimed on the website.

So what do you get for your £37?

Well, pages 11 to 17 cover ‘Where to bet’ ie descriptions and links to various bookmakers and betting exchanges. Do you really want to be paying £2 per page for such readily-available-for-free information?

The method itself is almost laughable and involves backing tipster selections in daily papers (the Daily Mirror is the preferred paper). Whilst the technique is explained well, there is absolutely no attempt made to explain why the system is believed to work ie the logical reasoning behind it. This is probably because there isn’t one, in my opinion

There is also no evidence that the author has made any money with the system nor – crucially – is there any recommendations regarding staking. From what I can see, level staking stands a good chance of producing a loss each week. In which cae,recovery staking must be used to make a profit each week and even then, it all looks highly dubious and risky. But there is no information regarding staking, so you are very much on your own.

This system has lived up to one of my expectations – I expected it to be poor and it certainly is. Don’t waste your money on this one is my conclusion.

Chris

I’ve been looking for a football tipping service that produces reliable long-term profits for quite some time. Up to now, I haven’t found anything that I feel gives me the confidence to recommend to anyone else.

However, I’ve now subscribed to a service that has been producing good profitable tips since I first subscribed. The service is called Football Betting Master and it concentrates on the under 2.5 goals and over 2.5 goals betting market. This is a market that has good liquidity on Betfair (so getting bets matched is usually not a problem).

The promotional website that you can find by clicking here offers two main services.

The first is the Football Betting Master System which is the system used to produce the tips. This is ideal for those of you that want to buy the system and then have no further future costs.

However, if you are lazy (like me!) and would rather have the tips sent to you every week, then they offer this for an incredible £7-95 for the 1st month and £9-95p for all subsequent months. This is an absolute bargain!

Selections are emailed every Friday and usually consist of 3 matches being played over the weekend. There is a recommended staking plan and bets are always at Betfair odds of less than 2.0. This means that even if a bet is a loser, you do not seriously damage your betting bank.

All bets are back bets either backing an under 2.5 goal score, or backing an over 2.5 goal score.

So what are the results like?

Here are the results from the past 3 weeks selections:

Sat 16th Oct

France Ligue 1 Toulouse v Paris SG  Under 2.5  Result 0-2  Bet won (Betfair odds 1.6)

Sun 17th Oct

Belgium Jupiter League Genk v Standard Liege Over 2.5 Result: 3-2 Bet won (Betfair odds 1.8)

Belgium Jupiter League Cercle Brugge v Anderlecht Over 2.5 Result 1-0 Bet lost (Betfair odds 1.7)

Sat 23rd Oct

Belgium Jupiter League St Truiden v Charleroi Under 2.5 Result 3-2 Bet lost (Betfair odds 1.8)

Argentina Primera Division Velez v Estudiantes Under 2.5 Result 0-0 Bet won (Betfair odds 1.6)

Sunday 24th Oct

Brazil Campeonato Brasileiro Vasco v Flamengo RJ Under 2.5 Result 1-1 Bet won (Betfair odds 1.75)

Saturday 30th Oct

Japan J Lleague G Osaka v Kobe Over 2.5 Result 2-4 Bet won (Betfair odds 1.6)

Scottish Div 3 Stranraer v Elgin City Over 2.5 Result 2-1 Bet won (Betfair odds 1.6)

France Ligue 1 Toulouse v Lens Under 2.5 Result 1-1 Bet won (Betfair odds 1.6)

Pretty impressive I think you’ll agree! I’m certainly going to continue my subscription and I recommend that you take a look at Football Betting Master.

There is a free 1-week trial available for those of you that want to be cautious.

Update:

Some people have emailed me pointing out that I got the result and outcome of the St Truiden v Charleroi match wrong. The result ended 3-2 (and not 1-0 as I originally stated) and the bet was therefore a loser and not a winner.

It has also been pointed out to me that the past 22 results are not all that great. My response is that you cannot judge a service on just 22 results. It is simply not statistically significant (just as 9 results as I’ve shown are also not statistically significant). But if you look at the past results on the Football Betting Master website, you will see that a profit has been generated every season. This – I believe – does show that the tips are profitable over the long term.

At the end of the day, everyone has to make up their own mind. I will continue to subscribe and will post the weekly results here (until I get bored!). Obviously the results will be posted after the matches!

Chris

It’s the start of another week and therefore time for another betting product to be released.

This time it’s a product called Betfair Pirate that will be released on Tuesday 6th July

You can read the product details by clicking this link

Basically, it’s a combination of an automated betting bot and a horse-racing lay service. It is going to be ideal for those people who don’t have the time to set up a bot every day, or have time to place bets manually. The bot is set up once with your betting strategy and it then automatically gets the daily lay selections without you having to manually load them in.

The website claims that there has been extensive beta testing and shows several months of data plus results. They claim that they have so far made an average of 20 points profit per month.

I am currently negotiating for a free trial of the bot to be able to give a more detailed, ‘hands-on’ review of Betfair Pirate.

(UPDATE: I have now been given a free 3-month trial of the software. Such a long trial does give me more confidence in the product. I’ll try to get everything running in the next day or so & will probably produce a video showing the bot and my results)

In the meantime, take a look at the sales page – it isn’t full of obviously fake screenshots and doesn’t make wild claims about profitability. There is also some very sensible advice about staking that is in complete agreement with my own views.

I think this product is worth looking at. Here’s the link:

Betfair Pirate

Latest update 5th July

I received the download instructions yesterday for the bot and soon had it set up & running OK. There was a small problem at one stage for which I sent an email to technical support. Their reply was prompt (less than 15 mins after my initial email) and they quickly resolved my problem. Good back-up support is – of course – a good sign of a quality product.

The bot itself is very simple. there are a well-written set of instructions with it – but to be honest, it is very intuitive and doesn’t have a huge array of parameters that you need to set up.

Once you have loaded the software and logged in to your Betfair account, the bot automatically gets the horse-racing data for the current day’s racing plus the following day. Now this is where some people will not be too happy. The lay selection information displayed on the screen consists solely of the race track and race time – the horse is not identified. I am sure this has been done to prevent certain unscrupulous tipsters from stealing the lays and using them on their own services.

You only find out the name of the horse when your bet has been matched. Also, the max and min lay odds and when the bet is put into the Betfair market are ‘hard-coded’ into the software ie you cannot currently alter them yourself.

You do however have a lot of control over your staking; whether you want level staking, fixed liability; stake as a percentage of your betting bank; and fixed liability as a percentage of your betting bank.

Two other features of note are:

- the option to run the bot with ‘paper trading’ (ie you don’t place actual bets into the market but the bot will record the results as if you had done so)

- the minimum stake is only 10p. This means you are not limited by the usual £2 Betfair stake requirement and can start will small stakes when you are ready to start using real money.

For today (5th July), there were quite a few selections but the bot was unable to get lay bets matched for quite a large percentage of them. However, at the time of writing this post (7.25 pm) I have had 5 bets placed by the bot and all have been successful!

Hopefully, this initial success will continue.

I will try to make a video in the next couple of days – so do come back to this blog. I will also – of course – keep posting about my progress.

My first impressions are certainly positive.

For more info about Betfair Pirate click here

Chris

Yet another “must have” gambling product has been released with the usual unbelievable claims about how good it is.

This time the main claim is :

Cambridge Maths Geeks Show You How To Tap The Secret Full-Time Income The Bookies Hoped You’d Never Discover!

The sales pitch follows the usual pattern of claiming that the author of the system – Chris Fenton (why are so many people with betting/tipping systems called Chris?) – who claims to have found the “secret” of making easy money from Betfair.

Claims about the money that Chris is making every day are made together with “proof” that consists solely of Betfair profit & loss screenshots. As you should all know by now, these are very easy to fake.

Chris claims that only hois system is the one that really works – and that all other systems you might have bought in the past were rubbish. We hear this time-and-time again, yet gullible punters still fall for the sales hype.

If anyone does buy this system, please do leave a comment telling us how you get on with it.

If you don’t buy, then don’t worry – there’ll be another similar system along soon.

Here’s the link to the website if you really eant to check it out

Betting Unleashed

LATEST NEWS

Other websites are reporting that Betting Unleashed is a definite scam – the screenshots are fake (as I suspected).

My advice is to avoid this like the plague!

I usually resist the urge to mention my personal favourites because I like to keep the really good services to myself!

However, I have decided to tell you about one service that I have used for a few years and which I feel is worth your while looking at.

It is called The Midas Method and you can find the website by clicking this link. The site doesn’t look very professional – indeed, your first thought is probably that it looks like those sites that sell rather dodgy ’systems’.

However, I have found that it usually pays to look beyond first impressions and look at results.

Midas Method runs 2 services – a ‘win & place’ horse race tipping service plus a horse-race lay tipping service. It is the lay tipping service that I want to concentrate on.

The service provides just 2 selections on most days in a month, and is a ’stop at a loser’ system. In short, if the first lay selection is successful, then you don’t lay the 2nd selection.

If the first lay is unsuccessful, then the recommendation is to lay the 2nd selection with an increased stake to get some loss recovery. Now i am not a fan of loss-recovery systems – but this is a service where loss-recovery does make sense.

The main problem with any form of loss-recovery is that if you have a run of bad results, then you are invariably placing bigger & bigger stakes on each bet to try to recover the increasing losses. There is always the possibility with such systems that the run of bad results will be such that you end up losing your entire betting bank. Not a good outcome!

However, loss-recovery does make sense if you know that losing runs are restricted to only one or two selections maximum. And this is the big strength of the Midas Method.

The past results are extremely good and show strike-rates that are in the upper 90s  over the past 6+ years! I can vouch for the accuracy of the past results data – all lay selections that are shown really were the only selections that were provided to members. ie there has been no ‘fiddling’ of past results to make things look good.

Selections are provided every day by logging in to a Members Area. Lays are usually priced at Betfair odds of about 4.5 or less.

There is a 3-day trial subscription that costs just £4-20 (+VAT) and the regular monthly subscription is £59 + VAT (a bit on the steep side but the selections provided are good. If you have a big enough betting bank, then you should be able to cover the subscription every month.

Here is the l.ink again for the site:

The Midas Method

Chris

As you will know, I am always cautious about tipping services because there are so many bad services out there. But Steve has offered me a free subscription to his service so that I can check out first hand how well it performs.

This is always a good sign that a service deserves attention – after all, if the service was bad would any tipster dare offer a free trial?

So starting on 2nd Nov, I will post on here the day’s selections and results (obviously after the races have finished!)

The Flat Racing Select service specialises in UK All Weather handicaps between 2nd Nov 2009 and 31st Mar 2010.

You can find out more about the service by clicking here to visit the website.

Fri 13th Nov

At last – a profitable day. The selections were:

6.50 Wolv

Jilly Why 3pts Lost

Bertbrand 2pts Lost

8.50 Wolv

Flowing Cape 2pts Lost

Stand Guard 1pt WON  SP  12/1

Overall profit for the day +5 pts

Thur 12th Nov

Another losing day – today’s total loss was 12 pts

Wed 11th Nov

Another losing day with an overall loss of 9.5 pts

Fri 6th Nov

Another losing day with a total loss of 11 pts.

The selections were:

3.30 Sthl

Highly Regal  3 pts Lost

McConnell  2 pts Lost

Swiss Art  1 pt Lost

9.20 Wolv

Monte Major 2.5 pts Lost

Multahab 2.5 pts Lost

Thur 5th Nov

Yet another losing day – the loss being 7 pts.

Here are the selections for the 2.20 Ling (with advised stakes):

Hightime Heroine  3 pts Lost

Trafalgar Square  2 pts  Lost

Fathsta  2 pts  Lost

Wed 4th Nov

Another losing day with a loss of 13 pts.

The selections were (with advised stakes):

5.50 Kemp

Uncle Fred  3pts Lost

Suzi Spends 1.5 pts Lost

Aurorian  2 pts Lost

7.20 Kemp

Having A Ball 2 pts Lost

Petomic  1.5 pts Lost

King Of legend  3 pts Lost

Tue 3rd Nov

Not such a good day today with a 7.5 pt loss.

The selections ran in the 2.50 Kemp and were (with advised stakes):

Bookiesindex Boy  2.5 pts Lost

Chosen Son 2.5 pts  Lost

Compton Classic 1.5 pts  Lost

Radiator Rooney 1 pt  Loss

total loss = 7.5 pts

Mon 2nd Nov

This new service has got off to a flying start with over 8 pts profit!

The selections all ran in the 4.50 Wolv – they were (with advised stakes):

Leyte Gulf 4pts  Won SP 100/30  Profit 13.3 pts

Sparkaway 2.5pts Lost  Loss of 2.5 pts

Supernoverre  2pts Lost Loss of 2 pts

Total profit for the day : +8.8 pts

Here’s the link:

http://www.juicestorm.com/betfairgen/

Give it a try and you’ll soon appreciate why you should NEVER believe any of the Betfair screenshots that you see published anywhere.

Chris

This one is called ‘Punters Prophecy‘ and will be released on Tuesday 25th August at 9am. Now I’m sure you are all gagging to rush off and buy your copy but – before you do – here is my review of the product.

Punters Prophecy consists of a 7-page pdf – the first 3 pages of which can be completely disregarded as regards how the system works. Since Punters Prophecy sells for an astonishing £35, this must make it one of the most expensive betting guides (on a £ per page) that has ever been released.

But is it worth it?

The guide details a 3-step process for selecting low-priced horses to back. It uses free data in the printed and online editions of the Racing Post. The rules are quite simple although there is one paragraph in the guide where there are partial sentences and bits do not make sense.

It is obvious that the guide has not been thoroughly proof-read – inexcusable in a guide that is so short.

Does the system work?

I have no idea. And as usual with these over-hyped products, there is no proof provided whatsoever. The manual does state that the system has been tested over the last year and that the strike-rate is around 50%.

But no list of bets is provided; nor any evidence from proofing to Racing-Index – so you can decide for yourself whether this system seems genuine or not. I daresay that the sales page will be covered with the usual Betfair screenshots suggesting that large profits are easy to make.

(I really must produce a video showing how incredibly easy it is to fake Betfair screenshots!)

Will Punters Prophecy end up topping the Clickbank betting guide best-seller chart soon after it is released. I’m sure it will. Like moths to a flame, there are a large number of punters who are always suckered in to buying these guides.

If you want to read more about Punters Prophecy, then here’s the link:

Punters Prophecy Official Website

Chris

20^th August 2008 to 8^th August 2009

Total bets – 150

Successful bets – 82 = 54.67%

Starting bank – £100

Current bank – £2349.44 (after commission)

Without “capping” each bets liability at £100 the profit was £2963.73

Since the launch of The ProSoccer Investment File at the beginning of June 2009 there have been only a few matches that have qualified as “lays” from the paucity of matches that are played during the Summer months. However, the following was achieved:

Total bets – 18

Successful bets – 11 = 61%

Starting bank = £100

Current bank – £182.76 (after commission)

To me, this indicates that even with poor quality matches, the rules of the strategy are sound and provide a great potential for the forthcoming season.

I have already indicated to previous purchasers that, on reflection, I released The ProSoccer Investment File too early. After all, the major leagues had just finished their seasons and upcoming games were mainly from Scandinavia and S.America. Due to the lack of qualifying matches I provided a supplement entitled “Volume 2” that is based on backing teams to win. This was in response to a number of requests for a backing strategy and is based on a set of similar, but diametrically opposite rules. The results? Well, a bit of a mixed bag in truth and this does reflect my beliefs about the difficulties associated with profiting from “backing” football teams to win. The odds offered by bookmakers are generally based on statistics that are available to everyone in some form or another and have reached a point where the “ordinary” punter who is betting in 10’s and 20’s is unlikely to make a meaningful profit.

As we all know, the expected does not always happen and the short priced favourites often fail to win. You will notice that I did not say “lose” because in terms of laying these teams, a draw is also a successful bet. And this is what The ProSoccer Investment File is all about.

Unfortunately, there will be those who fail to appreciate the concept of this strategy and will not see beyond what appears to be a modest strike rate, sometimes with a losing run indicated. This is a pity because it is the long term picture of profitability that should be viewed, rather than any “flash-in-the-pan” success that is spouted by the flashy websites.

With the above in mind I have decided that the recent increase in the price of The ProSoccer Investment File is to be abandoned and it has already reverted to its original. This reflects the fact that the supplemental “Volume 2” was intended only as an adjunct to the original document and should be used alongside but not as a replacement for the main principles outlined in the “core” strategy of the original document.

Michael Thwaite